Weather service issues spring flood outlook

2017 Hydrologic Spring Flood Outlook (National Weather Service)
2017 Hydrologic Spring Flood Outlook (National Weather Service)

The National Weather Service on Thursday issued its hydrologic spring flood outlook for West Central and Southwest Florida.
Affected counties include Citrus, Levy and Hernando counties.
The NWS predicts a low threat for the next several months. In its outlook, the NWS said, "The Florida dry season has lived up to it`s name and then some. Very dry warm conditions have occurred during the fall and winter months across all of West Central and Southwest Florida."
Rainfall deficits have run 4 to 8 inches across the region since Oct. 1, 2016 ... or 40 to 60 percent of climatological normals. The lack of rain has resulted in below normal streamflows on area rivers and creeks and below normal soil moisture across the region, the NWS said. 
It has also lead to the Florida peninsula being designated as abnormally dry (D0) to experiencing moderate drought (D1) conditions.
"The Climate Prediction Center long range models indicate there is an equal chance for above or below normal rainfall during the next three months over the Florida peninsula," the NWS said.
"Given the long-term antecedent dry conditions, it would take an extreme rainfall event for significant flooding to develop across the region. These factors lead to a low threat for spring flooding across west central and southwest Florida," the NWS said.
Below are the areas affected by the NWS alert.
  • Coastal Charlotte
  • Coastal Citrus
  • Coastal Hernando
  • Coastal Hillsborough
  • Coastal Lee
  • Coastal Levy
  • Coastal Manatee
  • Coastal Pasco
  • Coastal Sarasota
  • Inland Charlotte
  • Inland Citrus
  • Inland Hernando
  • Inland Hillsborough
  • Inland Lee
  • Inland Levy
  • Inland Manatee
  • Inland Pasco
  • Inland Sarasota